So what happens next?

We don’t know. That is the short (and honest) answer. Too many times in this race have ‘certainties’ been confounded - Giuliani was a shoo-in, McCain was dead in the water, Clinton was unstoppable, Clinton had lost it etc - for us to claim the slightest confidence in any predicted outcome.

Right now we would be wary of ruling out any possible combination of nominees - McCain is certain for the Republicans? Based on his delegate count, probably, but here is a thought for you (and one which wishes Mr McCain no ill will, and seems unlikely given the energy of his 96 year-old mother) - what if he dies before the convention? Would Huckabee be selected nominee in reflection of the fact that he was the second to last man standing? Or would Mitt step back in? Or someone completely different? Who knows? We don’t and nor does anyone else. But it is just the kind of thing that people love to speculate about.

But we are not going to; we are just going to report some numbers for now. After 50k users have taken our quiz there are some interesting pieces of insight. Around 40% of you have selected the ‘independent’ option (and based upon the traffic you are almost all American). There is a pretty much an even split between Republicans and Democrats for the remaining 60%. Most Democrats are more strongly aligned to the left-field, left-wing Mike Gravel, and were he not an option are matched to Obama over Clinton. On the Republican side - and this could be very significant in the months ahead - fewer than half the people who expect to get McCain as a match find themselves most closely aligned to his policies.

That’s it for now - a return to speculation after the next set of primaries.